2023 NFL Week 3 Odds, Lines, Picks, Spreads, Bets and Predictions: Model High on Chiefs, Dolphins

By | September 19, 2023

Two Super Bowl rematches will highlight the NFL’s Week 3 schedule, including one that took place last year. Rams vs. Bengals takes place on Monday Night Football, with Cincinnati looking for revenge after LA won Super Bowl LVI. The Bengals are 5.5-point favorites in the NFL Week 3 odds as they look for their first win of the season. The other rematch comes from Super Bowl XXVI in 1992, in which Washington handed the Bills the second of four straight Big Game losses. This time, Buffalo is favored by 6.5 on NFL spreads, despite Washington starting 2-0 in a dozen years.

The Commanders are one of six NFL Week 3 underdogs and the home dogs are 4-6 against the spread so far in 2023. All of the NFL Week 3 lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has All the NFL lines betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks right now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has raised more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season with an incredible 164-117 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. He is also 18-9 on top-rated NFL picks since the week 7 of last season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years for straight-up NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Those who have already followed are in high demand.

Now, he’s turned his attention to the latest NFL Week 3 odds and secured picks for every NFL matchup. Click here to see all the choices.

Top NFL Week 3 Predictions

One of the model’s strongest picks in Week 3 of the NFL is that the Chiefs (-12.5) cover the Bears in nearly 60% of simulations. The defending Super Bowl champions facing a team on a 12-game losing streak is the reason for the big number, but it might not be big enough. The Bears have lost both games this season by double digits, and their opponents, Green Bay and Tampa, are nowhere near Kansas City’s level on offense.

Chicago has lost its last five games by at least 10 points. The Bears lost an average of 8.9 during their first seven losses, but have since lost an average of 19.4 in their last five losses. Patrick Mahomes already faced Chicago once in 2019 and his Chiefs nearly lost the game in a 26-3 loss. The Chiefs must win by more than two touchdowns and become 12.5-point favorites nearly 60% of the time. See which other teams to choose here.

Another one of his Week 3 NFL predictions: The Dolphins (-7) cover the spread at home against the Broncos. This is one of the few games on the NFL Week 3 schedule in which a team that is 2-0 against the spread (Miami) faces a team that is 0-2 ATS (Denver). The South Beach humidity has also been a House of Horrors for a franchise that plays in the Mile High City, as the Dolphins are 8-1 at home against the Broncos.

Denver has an 0-2 record both head-to-head and against the spread despite starting two games at home, while the Dolphins are 2-0 despite starting two games on the road. Miami is arguably the best offensive team at the start of the season, ranking first in yards and third in points. Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in passing yards and should be able to exploit a defense that allowed just 299 passing yards and two touchdowns to Washington’s Sam Howell. The prediction is that Miami (-7) covers well over 50% of the time, and the model also says that Under (47) is correct in more than 50% of simulations. See which other teams to choose here.

How to make Week 3 NFL picks

The model also decided who wins and covers every other game on the NFL Week 3 schedule, and identified two can’t-miss underdogs that pull off big upsets. You can only get all the picks for all the games on SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence and which two underdogs are surprising the league? Check out the latest NFL odds below, and visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Week 3 NFL Odds, Lines and Spreads

Get complete NFL picks from SportsLine

Thursday, September 21st

Giants to 49ers (-10, 45)

Sunday, September 24th

Colts at Ravens (-8, 44.5)

Titans at Browns (-4.5, 41.5)

Falcons at Lions (-4, 46.5)

Saints at Packers (-2, 43)

Texans at Jaguars (-9, 45.5)

Broncos at Dolphins (-7, 47)

Chargers on Vikings (+1, 51.5)

Patriots in Jets (+2, 37.5)

Accounts on Commanders (+6.5, 45.5)

Panthers at Seahawks (-4.5, 42.5)

Cowboys at Cardinals (+12.5, 43.5)

Bears on Bosses (-12.5, 49)

Steelers at Raiders (+1.44)

Eagles at Buccaneers (+6.5, 44.5)

Monday, September 25th

Rams at Bengals (-5.5, 46)

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